Betting Trends – When the odds are in your favor

This article looks at historical trends regarding NFL games and betting. The results are based on historical lines dating back to 1978. The free data source includes available betting lines from Sunshine Forecast. Analysis was performed using a combination of Excel and MATLAB. In general, we will look largely at probabilities given a line more or less than a certain amount. … Continue reading Betting Trends – When the odds are in your favor

NFL Trends: Part 5 – Rest

Now with Part 5 of our NFL trends, we are going to look at how rest affects a teams odds against the spread. If you haven’t, check out the Part 4 article on Streaks. In the graph below, we look at the rest differential plotted against the odds the visiting team covers. Rest differential is how much … Continue reading NFL Trends: Part 5 – Rest

NFL Trends: Part 4 – Streaks

Welcome to Part 4 of the NFL Trends series at Cirrus the Duck. Doesn’t make much sense, does it? Well, here we go anyway. If you haven’t, check out the Part 3 article on Divisional Games. This time we’re looking at how winning and losing streaks affect a teams chance to cover. First lets look at how … Continue reading NFL Trends: Part 4 – Streaks

About

Cirrus the Duck has launched! Here you will find way too much about the cat Cirrus (who occasionally sits like a duck). I have a rather large collection of pictures and videos that will be posted for the world to see. Maybe the blog will include daily/weekly updates on Cirrus’s life, goals, and struggles. Particularly … Continue reading About